Ohio 1st - 2018 House Forecast - FiveThirtyEight OH-1 is 9 4 percentage points more Republican-leaning than the country overall, based on how it has voted in recent presidential and state legislative elections It voted for Trump in 2016 and Romney in 2012 Incumbent's margin in last election
Arizona 4th - 2018 House Forecast - FiveThirtyEight AZ-4 is 42 8 percentage points more Republican-leaning than the country overall, based on how it has voted in recent presidential and state legislative elections It voted for Trump in 2016 and Romney in 2012 Incumbent's margin in last election
Colorado 4th - 2018 House Forecast - FiveThirtyEight CO-4 is 25 4 percentage points more Republican-leaning than the country overall, based on how it has voted in recent presidential and state legislative elections It voted for Trump in 2016 and Romney in 2012 Incumbent's margin in last election
Hawaii 2nd - 2018 House Forecast - FiveThirtyEight The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals) It is then reverted toward a mean based on long-term trends in midterms and presidential approval ratings —
Pennsylvania - 2018 Senate Forecast - FiveThirtyEight The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of the race (if available), polls of similar races (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals) It is then reverted toward a mean based on long-term trends in midterms and presidential approval ratings
Michigan 1st - 2018 House Forecast - FiveThirtyEight Trump's approval ratings How popular is the president? Latest polls; Generic ballot; Trump approval; Search for a race or candidate + Gimme the works — the Classic forecasts plus experts’ ratings Search for a race or candidate + Michigan 1st Likely R
California 12th - 2018 House Forecast - FiveThirtyEight The Classic version of our model projects a race’s outcome by taking a weighted average of polls of a district (if available), polls of similar districts (CANTOR) and non-polling factors (fundamentals) It is then reverted toward a mean based on long-term trends in midterms and presidential approval ratings —
Texas 10th - 2018 House Forecast - FiveThirtyEight Trump's approval ratings How popular is the president? Latest polls; Generic ballot; Trump approval; Search for a race or candidate + Gimme the works — the Classic forecasts plus experts’ ratings Search for a race or candidate + Texas 10th Likely R
Pennsylvania 18th - 2018 House Forecast - FiveThirtyEight Trump's approval ratings How popular is the president? Latest polls; Generic ballot; Trump approval; Search for a race or candidate + Gimme the works — the Classic forecasts plus experts’ ratings Search for a race or candidate + Pennsylvania 18th Solid D Uncontested See the national overview
New York 17th - 2018 House Forecast - FiveThirtyEight Trump's approval ratings How popular is the president? Latest polls; Generic ballot; Trump approval; Search for a race or candidate + Gimme the works — the Classic forecasts plus experts’ ratings Search for a race or candidate + New York 17th Solid D >99 in 100 Chance the Democrat